Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +240 UNCO -298 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +4 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -5.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -4.5 (+8.5) | 159.1 (+22.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -5.8 (+9.8) | 158.2 (+23.8) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.4 (+8.4) | 157.0 (+25.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -4.6 (+8.6) | 157.4 (+24.6) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNCO 77 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-16 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#286) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#308) | 0.08 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#309) | 0.09 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#326) | 0.497 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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