Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +240 UNCO -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -5.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -6.0 (+1.0) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.9 (-0.1) | 140.9 (+14.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.8 (+0.8) | 142.9 (+12.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.9 (+0.9) | 143.0 (+12.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNCO 77 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#326) | -1.7 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#330) | 0.06 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#333) | -0.00 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#333) | 0.502 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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