Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +300 UNCO -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +16 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -9.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -8.7 (-7.3) | 147.7 (-9.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -9.9 (-6.1) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -9.2 (-6.8) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -9.6 (-6.4) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNCO 77 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#336) | 1.4 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#348) | 0.56 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#355) | 0.75 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#354) | 0.514 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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