Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -800 SAC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +16 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -8.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -8.7 (+7.3) | 159.4 (+14.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -10.0 (+6.0) | 158.8 (+15.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -8.1 (+7.9) | 156.5 (+17.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -7.6 (+8.4) | 158.4 (+15.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNCO 77 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 83.6 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | -5.3 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#188) | -0.90 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#166) | -1.03 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#211) | 0.444 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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