Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -2500 SAC +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -18.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -13.1 (-9.1) | 139.2 (-7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -14.1 (-10.1) | 141.1 (-9.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -15.2 (-11.2) | 140.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -14.3 (-10.3) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNCO 77 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-11 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#125) | -12.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#96) | -2.67 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#93) | -3.85 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#126) | 0.355 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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