With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 13, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -12.5 Away covered
O/U 160.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual CARK +1 183 Lost
Massey QUC -15.2 (-16.2) — —
Massey Totals — 161.3 (+21.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUC -11.5 (-12.5) 157.4 (+25.6) 87% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -11.7 (-12.7) 155.2 (+27.8) 86% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -11.5 (-12.5) 157.0 (+26.0) 87% ✗
Baseline ML QUC -11.3 (-12.3) 159.3 (+23.7) 87% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 QUC 98 – 93 CARK
Feb 28, 2026 CARK 84 – 79 QUC
Jan 29, 2026 CARK 100 – 90 QUC
Feb 19, 2025 QUC 89 – 72 CARK
Feb 6, 2025 QUC 63 – 47 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC CARK
Overall 18-15 9-22
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 8-5 6-8
Away 7-10 2-13
Neutral 3-0 1-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 75.6 71.8
Avg Pts Against 75.5 82.4
Massey -0.4 (#182) -11.6 (#342)
Bradley-Terry 0.57 (#125) -1.58 (#310)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.07 (#175) -2.04 (#311)
RPI 0.528 (#128) 0.418 (#313)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC CARK
FG% 43.8% 40.4%
3PT% 34.5% 31.0%
REB / G 38.4 36.2
OREB / G 12.4 11.8
AST / TO 0.91 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 46.7%
TOV% 20.3% 20.2%
ORB% 34.1% 29.3%
FT Rate 25.2% 16.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 16.9%
DRB% 72.8% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 15.3% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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