Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -400 SELA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -10.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -7.0 (-10.0) | 152.1 (+14.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -5.8 (-8.8) | 150.5 (+16.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -6.9 (-9.9) | 150.9 (+16.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -6.6 (-9.6) | 150.3 (+16.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#169) | -5.9 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#182) | -0.63 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#177) | -0.94 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#163) | 0.435 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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