Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -500 CP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -9.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -6.7 (+12.3) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -8.3 (+10.7) | 136.1 (-1.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -6.9 (+12.1) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -6.7 (+12.3) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CP 102 – 92 LBSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LBSU 74 – 66 CP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CP 83 – 69 LBSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CP 78 – 69 LBSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LBSU 77 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 1-18 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#178) | -5.6 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#228) | -1.12 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#185) | -1.33 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#219) | 0.419 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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