Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -175 WEB +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +2 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -7.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -5.3 (-7.3) | 134.7 (-18.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -3.4 (-5.4) | 132.4 (-16.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -4.7 (-6.7) | 137.4 (-21.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -4.5 (-6.5) | 138.1 (-22.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#170) | -2.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#189) | -0.79 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#173) | -1.01 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#183) | 0.448 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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