Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +500 NICH -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -7.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.3 (+10.3) | 146.2 (-11.2) | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.2 (+9.2) | 143.6 (-8.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -7.4 (+10.4) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -8.0 (+11.0) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#357) | -5.0 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#355) | -0.36 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.46 (#357) | -0.69 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#359) | 0.490 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 37.2% |
Game Analysis
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