Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -180 NICH +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +1 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -5.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-41.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -4.3 (-5.3) | 142.9 (-37.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.8 (-5.8) | 141.6 (-36.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -4.3 (-5.3) | 142.1 (-37.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.0 (-5.0) | 143.3 (-38.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LAM 75 – 56 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 12-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#204) | -5.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#271) | -0.91 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#250) | -1.24 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#297) | 0.473 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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