Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -175 LAM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -4.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -3.8 (-7.8) | 139.3 (+12.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.6 (-6.6) | 139.0 (+13.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.6 (-7.6) | 137.8 (+14.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -3.6 (-7.6) | 138.6 (+13.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LAM 75 – 56 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#197) | -2.6 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#178) | -0.95 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#192) | -1.03 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#167) | 0.462 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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