Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -125 NICH -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -0.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.2 (+3.2) | 136.2 (-23.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.2 (+2.8) | 136.9 (-23.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.2 (+3.2) | 136.6 (-23.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.1 (+2.9) | 136.8 (-23.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LAM 75 – 56 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#173) | -0.6 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#173) | 0.04 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#173) | -0.09 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.530 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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