Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -180 LAM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -4.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.9 (-12.9) | 136.2 (+33.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.1 (-13.1) | 136.9 (+33.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.8 (-12.8) | 136.5 (+33.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.8 (-12.8) | 137.0 (+33.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LAM 75 – 56 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 7-15 |
| Home | 6-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#196) | -2.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#182) | -1.02 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#191) | -1.21 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.433 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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