Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -500 LIN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +23 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -9.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -6.6 (+16.4) | 144.6 (+20.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -6.4 (+16.6) | 144.1 (+20.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -7.1 (+15.9) | 142.4 (+22.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -6.6 (+16.4) | 143.1 (+21.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SEMO 68 – 66 LIN |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SEMO 73 – 61 LIN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIN 88 – 76 SEMO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SEMO 74 – 58 LIN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LIN 72 – 68 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#232) | -9.0 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#243) | -1.80 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#237) | -1.70 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#222) | 0.404 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.