Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -110 UNF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -1.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -0.5 (+8.5) | 144.8 (-9.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -1.3 (+7.7) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -0.5 (+8.5) | 144.1 (-9.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -0.0 (+9.0) | 144.1 (-9.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | UNF 88 – 76 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#322) | -6.3 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#315) | -0.20 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#320) | -0.48 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#319) | 0.510 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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