I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · January 13, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money DETM +120 / YSU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual YSU +5 163 Lost
Massey YSU -2.3 (-2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 165.7 (-2.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Baseline Plus ML YSU -3.0 (-2.0) 158.3 (+4.7) 33% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -1.9 (-3.1) 153.9 (+9.1) 45% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -2.6 (-2.4) 160.8 (+2.2) 39% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -3.4 (-1.6) 161.2 (+1.8) 31% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 DETM 76 – 70 YSU
Dec 29, 2025 DETM 73 – 68 YSU
Feb 8, 2025 YSU 87 – 72 DETM
Dec 29, 2024 YSU 73 – 64 DETM
Feb 28, 2024 YSU 69 – 55 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM YSU
Overall 14-19 24-10
Conference 9-11 15-5
Home 9-5 14-3
Away 5-13 9-6
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.1 80.4
Avg Pts Against 75.7 72.9
Massey -1.7 (#205) 4.6 (#96)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#242) 0.09 (#173)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.36 (#207) 0.31 (#149)
RPI 0.462 (#245) 0.493 (#192)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM YSU
FG% 41.5% 49.3%
3PT% 37.7% 39.5%
REB / G 36.4 34.3
OREB / G 12.9 10.8
AST / TO 0.90 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 55.9%
TOV% 18.2% 17.4%
ORB% 33.9% 33.1%
FT Rate 20.3% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 19.8%
DRB% 66.8% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 16.7%

Game Analysis

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