Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SUU +100 SHSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -3.7 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -2.3 (+14.3) | 145.3 (+14.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -2.9 (+14.9) | 144.8 (+15.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -1.9 (+13.9) | 147.3 (+12.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.0 (+14.0) | 148.6 (+11.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 57 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | 10.1 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#135) | 1.70 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#133) | 2.05 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#123) | 0.585 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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