Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -213 SUU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -7.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -6.0 (+1.0) | 143.1 (-22.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -6.1 (+0.9) | 138.7 (-17.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -6.4 (+0.6) | 143.3 (-22.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -6.3 (+0.7) | 143.2 (-22.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2023 | SUU 86 – 74 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#68) | 4.5 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#52) | 0.91 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#64) | 0.99 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#51) | 0.550 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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