Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -120 MORE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -5.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -2.3 (+14.7) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.1 (+15.9) | 136.4 (+4.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -2.3 (+14.7) | 137.6 (+3.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -2.4 (+14.6) | 138.3 (+2.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#297) | -8.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#330) | -0.47 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#322) | -1.01 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#317) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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