Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | DEN +100 NDSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +20 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -4.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -2.1 (-22.1) | 147.8 (+12.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -0.3 (-20.3) | 144.5 (+15.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -2.2 (-22.2) | 145.9 (+14.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -2.2 (-22.2) | 144.5 (+15.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | DEN 78 – 71 NDSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | NDSU 82 – 77 DEN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NDSU 89 – 84 DEN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NDSU 69 – 50 DEN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | DEN 77 – 71 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#260) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#234) | -1.10 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#270) | -1.34 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#277) | 0.458 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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