Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +19 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -12.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -13.2 (+5.8) | 137.2 (-20.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -11.6 (+7.4) | 135.7 (-18.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -10.8 (+8.2) | 135.6 (-18.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -11.3 (+7.7) | 137.7 (-20.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2024 | UTAH 70 – 69 UCLA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 44 UCLA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 71 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UCLA 63 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2021 | UCLA 76 – 61 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 9-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#4) | 10.6 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#15) | 1.16 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#16) | 1.47 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#17) | 0.526 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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