Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +225 UCLA -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -5.2 (-1.8) | 132.9 (+16.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -5.4 (-1.6) | 131.9 (+17.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.1 (-2.9) | 131.9 (+17.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.8 (-3.2) | 133.3 (+15.7) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2024 | UTAH 70 – 69 UCLA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 44 UCLA |
| Jan 13, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UCLA 63 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2021 | UCLA 76 – 61 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 18-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 60.7 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | 18.9 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#94) | 2.88 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#87) | 3.46 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#143) | 0.624 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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