Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -250 UTAH +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -3.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.5 (-0.5) | 134.4 (+4.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -0.2 (-0.8) | 135.0 (+4.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -0.4 (-0.6) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -0.6 (-0.4) | 137.0 (+2.0) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 44 UCLA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 71 UTAH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UCLA 63 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2021 | UCLA 76 – 61 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 17-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#96) | 12.2 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | 1.45 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#106) | 1.80 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#126) | 0.557 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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