Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -400 UCLA +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +46 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -15.4 (+30.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -11.1 (+34.9) | 138.9 (-4.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -12.7 (+33.3) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -13.3 (+32.7) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -14.1 (+31.9) | 140.1 (-6.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2024 | UTAH 70 – 69 UCLA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 71 UTAH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UCLA 63 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2021 | UCLA 76 – 61 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#21) | 2.3 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#30) | -0.97 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#33) | -1.04 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#22) | 0.457 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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