Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -7.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -5.5 (+0.5) | 142.8 (-21.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -6.9 (+1.9) | 146.1 (-25.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -6.3 (+1.3) | 146.5 (-25.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -5.8 (+0.8) | 146.2 (-25.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2024 | UTAH 70 – 69 UCLA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 44 UCLA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | UCLA 78 – 71 UTAH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 49 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2021 | UCLA 76 – 61 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#113) | 14.9 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#167) | 2.82 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#149) | 3.91 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#159) | 0.609 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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