Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +110 NKU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -7.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -4.0 (+1.0) | 135.9 (+19.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -3.4 (+1.6) | 137.6 (+17.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -4.2 (+0.8) | 136.1 (+18.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -4.4 (+0.6) | 136.0 (+19.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#183) | -3.6 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#118) | -0.27 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#147) | -0.11 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#124) | 0.478 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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