Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | USC -1.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -2.7 (+4.3) | 142.6 (-13.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -2.1 (+4.9) | 142.9 (-13.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -2.1 (+4.9) | 142.8 (-13.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -1.7 (+5.3) | 142.5 (-13.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | COLO 92 – 89 USC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | COLO 68 – 58 USC |
| Feb 24, 2023 | USC 84 – 65 COLO |
| Jan 21, 2022 | USC 61 – 58 COLO |
| Mar 13, 2021 | COLO 72 – 70 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#70) | 10.1 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#59) | 0.99 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#66) | 1.65 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#60) | 0.565 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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