Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -1000 USC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-31.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -7.4 (+2.6) | 150.4 (-24.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -7.3 (+2.7) | 151.6 (-25.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -7.1 (+2.9) | 151.0 (-25.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.9 (+3.1) | 153.9 (-27.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | COLO 92 – 89 USC |
| Feb 24, 2023 | USC 84 – 65 COLO |
| Jan 13, 2023 | USC 68 – 61 COLO |
| Jan 21, 2022 | USC 61 – 58 COLO |
| Mar 13, 2021 | COLO 72 – 70 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#45) | 6.4 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#72) | 0.62 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#63) | 0.96 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#51) | 0.534 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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