Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | USC +120 COLO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -0.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -0.3 (-2.3) | 128.8 (+13.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.3 (-1.7) | 133.7 (+8.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.5 (-1.5) | 131.1 (+10.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.7 (-1.3) | 133.8 (+8.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | COLO 92 – 89 USC |
| Jan 14, 2024 | COLO 68 – 58 USC |
| Feb 24, 2023 | USC 84 – 65 COLO |
| Jan 13, 2023 | USC 68 – 61 COLO |
| Jan 21, 2022 | USC 61 – 58 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#13) | 15.3 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#21) | 2.21 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#20) | 2.96 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#10) | 0.595 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.