Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -7.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -5.1 (+14.1) | 148.9 (-21.9) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -7.2 (+16.2) | 147.7 (-20.7) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -7.2 (+16.2) | 150.0 (-23.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -6.7 (+15.7) | 151.3 (-24.3) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | HCU 69 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HCU 81 – 70 ETAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ETAM 63 – 59 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HCU 83 – 79 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ETAM 98 – 85 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -17.8 (#361) | -6.6 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#358) | -1.06 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.77 (#359) | -1.58 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#353) | 0.432 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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