Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +140 ETAM -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +13 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -2.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+35.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.1 (-10.9) | 148.4 (+34.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -2.3 (-10.7) | 154.4 (+28.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -2.1 (-10.9) | 150.7 (+32.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -1.9 (-11.1) | 150.5 (+32.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | HCU 69 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HCU 81 – 70 ETAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ETAM 63 – 59 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HCU 83 – 79 ETAM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | HCU 69 – 65 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#357) | -11.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#355) | -1.86 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.71 (#356) | -2.39 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#349) | 0.433 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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