Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -155 HCU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -1.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -1.7 (-2.7) | 132.3 (+4.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -1.6 (-2.6) | 134.5 (+2.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.6 (-1.6) | 133.2 (+3.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -1.7 (-2.7) | 132.8 (+4.2) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | HCU 81 – 70 ETAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ETAM 63 – 59 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HCU 83 – 79 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ETAM 98 – 85 HCU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | HCU 69 – 65 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 8-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#302) | -7.9 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#286) | -1.62 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#283) | -2.10 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#258) | 0.418 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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