Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -600 HCU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -10.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -7.9 (-11.9) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -8.5 (-12.5) | 145.1 (-11.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -7.8 (-11.8) | 144.4 (-10.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -8.6 (-12.6) | 145.8 (-11.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | HCU 69 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HCU 81 – 70 ETAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | ETAM 63 – 59 HCU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HCU 83 – 79 ETAM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ETAM 98 – 85 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#306) | -14.8 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#239) | -3.98 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#254) | -4.98 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#201) | 0.379 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 21.6% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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