Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +300 SIUE -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -8.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -7.6 (-10.4) | 138.6 (+3.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -7.3 (-10.7) | 138.7 (+3.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -8.0 (-10.0) | 137.9 (+4.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -7.5 (-10.5) | 138.2 (+3.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#337) | 2.4 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#336) | 0.72 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#336) | 0.71 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#347) | 0.542 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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