Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BU -138 ARMY +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +9 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -3.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -2.2 (-11.2) | 144.4 (+12.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -2.6 (-11.6) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -1.6 (-10.6) | 146.1 (+10.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -1.7 (-10.7) | 148.2 (+8.8) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#231) | -2.8 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#245) | -0.87 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#258) | -0.96 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#230) | 0.448 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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