Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -5.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -4.3 (+3.7) | 136.3 (+13.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -3.1 (+4.9) | 135.1 (+14.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -5.2 (+2.8) | 136.0 (+14.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -5.0 (+3.0) | 137.0 (+13.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | VILL 82 – 73 BTLR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VILL 85 – 67 BTLR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VILL 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 1, 2025 | VILL 73 – 65 BTLR |
| Feb 20, 2024 | VILL 72 – 62 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#80) | 5.6 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#78) | 0.52 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#80) | 0.86 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#92) | 0.528 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.