Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +1 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -5.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -3.6 (-2.6) | 146.0 (+19.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -3.5 (-2.5) | 144.4 (+20.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.0 (-3.0) | 145.0 (+20.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.3 (-3.3) | 145.1 (+19.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2022 | RICE 72 – 67 UTEP |
| Mar 4, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 67 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UTEP 72 – 70 RICE |
| Jan 10, 2021 | RICE 71 – 68 UTEP |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UTEP 101 – 89 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#180) | -1.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#132) | -0.17 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#147) | -0.13 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#161) | 0.476 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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