Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -450 SPU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +7 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -16.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -12.5 (-5.5) | 133.5 (-24.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -9.4 (-2.4) | 132.7 (-23.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -11.9 (-4.9) | 137.2 (-28.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -12.8 (-5.8) | 136.9 (-27.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#108) | -8.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#129) | -1.67 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#117) | -2.08 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#135) | 0.418 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
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