Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | HARV -900 COLU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -17.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -11.3 (+10.7) | 131.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -13.7 (+8.3) | 133.9 (-9.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -12.5 (+9.5) | 130.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -11.8 (+10.2) | 130.4 (-6.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#146) | -12.1 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#158) | -2.02 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#178) | -2.54 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#127) | 0.398 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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