Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -600 LAM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -12.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -9.4 (+5.6) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -10.5 (+4.5) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -9.4 (+5.6) | 145.8 (+1.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -9.0 (+6.0) | 146.2 (+0.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | LAM 82 – 61 ETAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LAM 69 – 62 ETAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 ETAM |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LAM 61 – 58 ETAM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LAM 70 – 53 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-12 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#300) | -15.8 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#298) | -2.44 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#313) | -3.42 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#314) | 0.351 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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