Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MUR -350 UIC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -9.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -6.9 (+10.1) | 140.1 (+4.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -10.6 (+6.4) | 141.2 (+3.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -6.6 (+10.4) | 139.7 (+5.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -6.5 (+10.5) | 139.6 (+5.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UIC 92 – 79 MUR |
| Feb 4, 2026 | MUR 81 – 74 UIC |
| Jan 2, 2026 | MUR 81 – 77 UIC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MUR 63 – 53 UIC |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UIC 97 – 93 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | -6.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#185) | -0.67 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#180) | -0.97 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.462 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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