Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +140 YSU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -7.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.7 (-8.3) | 154.4 (-0.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.7 (-9.3) | 154.4 (-0.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.3 (-10.7) | 157.3 (-3.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -5.4 (-10.6) | 158.0 (-4.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#274) | 4.9 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#239) | 0.25 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#248) | 0.49 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#245) | 0.498 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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