Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -1000 BUCK +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -13.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -12.9 (-6.9) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -12.9 (-6.9) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.9 (-6.9) | 149.5 (-13.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.8 (-5.8) | 149.6 (-13.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 11-4 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#120) | -6.4 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#162) | -1.89 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -2.19 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#162) | 0.392 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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