Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UMES -800 DSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -12.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -9.8 (-7.8) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -10.4 (-8.4) | 132.9 (+1.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -9.9 (-7.9) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -10.4 (-8.4) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#272) | -14.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#188) | -3.99 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#191) | -5.43 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#146) | 0.374 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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