Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -600 TLSA +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -13.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -10.5 (-6.5) | 136.4 (+5.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -10.8 (-6.8) | 138.3 (+3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -10.1 (-6.1) | 135.6 (+6.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -10.5 (-6.5) | 135.7 (+6.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-9 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-4 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#130) | -6.7 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#183) | -1.46 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#171) | -1.52 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#174) | 0.415 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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