Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LEH +160 AMER -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -3.9 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -2.7 (+18.7) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -2.6 (+18.6) | 132.3 (+7.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -2.9 (+18.9) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -3.4 (+19.4) | 137.9 (+2.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LEH 78 – 73 AMER |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AMER 78 – 75 LEH |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LEH 70 – 68 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#306) | 0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#240) | 0.32 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#245) | 0.22 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#222) | 0.499 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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