Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -1.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -1.5 (-9.5) | 143.7 (-12.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -2.4 (-8.6) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -1.7 (-9.3) | 142.9 (-11.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -2.1 (-8.9) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | PITT 89 – 66 GT |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GT 73 – 67 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | PITT 89 – 81 GT |
| Feb 22, 2023 | PITT 76 – 68 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#147) | 7.3 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#140) | 1.50 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#141) | 2.07 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#153) | 0.579 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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