Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -1000 GT +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -13.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -13.4 (-5.4) | 140.6 (+3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -10.5 (-2.5) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -12.4 (-4.4) | 140.8 (+3.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -12.9 (-4.9) | 141.0 (+3.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | PITT 89 – 66 GT |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GT 73 – 67 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | PITT 89 – 81 GT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | PITT 71 – 60 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#66) | -1.2 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#43) | -0.07 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#47) | -0.05 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#42) | 0.480 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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