Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -425 GT +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -11.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -11.8 (-17.8) | 146.1 (-6.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -11.0 (-17.0) | 146.8 (-6.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -10.8 (-16.8) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -10.6 (-16.6) | 145.3 (-5.3) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | PITT 89 – 66 GT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | PITT 89 – 81 GT |
| Feb 22, 2023 | PITT 76 – 68 GT |
| Jan 14, 2023 | PITT 71 – 60 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#48) | 3.5 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | 0.40 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#66) | 0.42 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#70) | 0.487 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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